Sunday, December 04, 2005

More fun with those same draft picks

Alright, here are my thoughts on how each of these guys turned out. I will give them one of four scores - Superstar, Good, Starter, Bust. Obviously, you want superstars when you draft someone in the top five, but getting good solid players is not bad. I will say that to be a superstar, you have to be in the top 2 or 3 at your position for more than one year, and too be good you have to be in the top 5 to 8 for a few years. Starter is a long time starter in the NFL that was a decent player and Bust is self explanitory. I will also say unknown for people that we just don't know yet.


2005:
1 - Alex Smith - QB - Unknown
2- Ronnie Brown - RB - Unknown
4- Cedric Benson - RB - Unknown
5- Carnell Williams - RB - Unknown

2004:
1- Eli Manning - QB - Unknown, but has looked pretty good this year
4- Phillip Rivers - QB - Unknown

2003:
1- Carson Palmer - QB - Unknown, but looks like he will be between good/superstar for a few years, but that is not certain.

2002:
1- David Carr - QB - Unknown, bordering on starter/bust.
3- Joey Harrington - QB - Looking like a bust, but too early to officially give him that title, so we will say unknown

2001:
1- Michael Vick - QB - Good
5- LaDanian Tomlinson - RB - Superstar

2000:
5- Jamal Lewis - RB - Good

1999:
1- Tim Couch - QB - Bust
2- Donovan McNabb - QB - Good/Superstar... we'll say superstar.
3- Akili Smith - QB - Bust
4- Edgerrin James - RB - Good/Superstar... we will say good to even out the Don-O-Van.
5- Ricky Williams - RB - Superstarish for a while before he went totally nuts. We'll just call him 'good' and leave it at that.

1998:
1- Peyton Manning - QB - SuperDuperStar
2- Ryan Leaf - QB - SuperDuperBust
5- Curtis Enis - RB -Bust bust bust

1997:
None

1996:
None (Though Lawrence Phillips - RB went #6) - Bust

1995:
1- Kijana Carter - RB - Bust
3- Steve McNair - QB - Hard not to call him a Superstar in the late 90's
5- Kerry Collins - QB - Starter

1994:
2- Marshall Faulk - RB - Superstar
3- Heath Shuler - QB - Bust

1993:
1- Drew Bledsoe - QB - Between good and starter, we will say good because of his longevity
2- Rick Mirer - QB - Bust
3- Garrison Hearst - RB - Between good and starter, we will say starter.

1992:
None (Though David Klingler - QB went #6) - Bust

1991:
None

1990:
1- Jeff George - QB - Infamous Bust
2- Blair Thomas - RB - Bust
(Andre Ware - QB went #7) - Bust

9 Unknown (Looks like Carr and Harrington are pretty bad, and Manning and Palmer will be pretty good)
5 Star
5 Good
2 Starters
9 Busts, and 3 more busts from #6 and 7

So really you have just as good of a shot at getting a total bust as a good player from your high draft pick. This is why it isn't worth trading the kitchen sink to get someone. With that being said, I honestly believe Reggie Bush is going to be awesome, but people thought that Ryan Leaf was going to be also. So just stand pat, and draft at your position.

1 Comments:

At 11:11 PM, Blogger Kyle said...

That's a fair point. There are obviously times where you would want to trade up. Especially when you aren't giving up a bonanza of draft picks to do it. I would be much more willing to trade a veteran to get a first round pick than two first round picks and a second rounder, or something. My point was simply that a lot of times, you aren't getting what you think you are getting in the draft. And yes, I think that other positions are a little more sure fire than QB and RB.

 

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